Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.085790 0.095515 0.105511 0.116526 0.128297 0.140474 0.153998
2025-01-19 0.068231 0.082595 0.098164 0.116168 0.136294 0.157983 0.183004
2025-01-26 0.060969 0.079149 0.099724 0.124434 0.153005 0.184720 0.222302
2025-02-02 0.052105 0.072385 0.096299 0.126027 0.161445 0.201778 0.250658
2025-02-09 0.045753 0.067625 0.094384 0.128656 0.170532 0.219229 0.279327
2025-02-16 0.039344 0.061920 0.090566 0.128328 0.175572 0.231584 0.301848
2025-02-23 0.036986 0.061136 0.092651 0.135098 0.189133 0.254091 0.336530
2025-03-02 0.034498 0.059833 0.093802 0.140492 0.200891 0.274427 0.368736
2025-03-09 0.029672 0.054686 0.089369 0.138228 0.202651 0.282260 0.385606
2025-03-16 0.025108 0.049392 0.084273 0.134664 0.202391 0.287319 0.398882
2025-03-23 0.023609 0.048589 0.085345 0.139341 0.212829 0.305857 0.428989
2025-03-30 0.021746 0.047001 0.085128 0.142131 0.220718 0.321169 0.455150
2025-04-06 0.019627 0.044908 0.084211 0.144136 0.227940 0.336196 0.481788
2025-04-13 0.017341 0.042291 0.082352 0.144733 0.233296 0.348963 0.505865
2025-04-20 0.017387 0.043801 0.086903 0.154719 0.251702 0.379040 0.552482
2025-04-27 0.015709 0.041967 0.086065 0.156720 0.259053 0.394645 0.580628
2025-05-04 0.014423 0.040705 0.086023 0.159827 0.267930 0.412318 0.611581
2025-05-11 0.012639 0.038217 0.083783 0.159469 0.271821 0.423307 0.633868
2025-05-18 0.012432 0.038922 0.086883 0.167317 0.287489 0.450251 0.677257
2025-05-25 0.011973 0.039032 0.088939 0.173553 0.300889 0.474227 0.716901
2025-06-01 0.010221 0.036067 0.085461 0.170939 0.301323 0.480471 0.733027
2025-06-08 0.008480 0.032800 0.081182 0.166820 0.299366 0.483307 0.744543
2025-06-15 0.008126 0.032807 0.082815 0.172226 0.311508 0.505641 0.782241